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Russia has no choice but to use nuclear weapons
Ukraine being allowed to strike inside Russia with NATO weapons is a serious escalation, because Russia cannot hit inside NATO countries for fear of triggering Article 5.
The only option for Russia is to win the war inside of Ukraine, but it cannot do so conventionally, because every time it makes meaningful progress NATO just ramps up support and blocks the Russian advance, as we just saw in Kharkiv.
That means Russia needs a knockout blow, and fast before its economy runs out of money. For this purpose it seems to have built hundreds of modern armored vehicles and probably trained mechanized infantry to go with them. These have not been sighted so they're probably held in reserve, preparing for an armored breakthrough.
But this would not work, they'd get bogged down in Ukrainian defenses, as drones, ATCAMS and NLAWs rain down on them, just as with the Ukrainian summer offensive last year.
But Russia has a weapon Ukraine lacked, which are tactical nuclear weapons. Even a single one of these could punch a hole in the Ukrainian lines, most likely around Chasiv Yar, with minimal radiation, allowing this armored fist to swarm through and roll up the defenses so the infantry can advance, in classic Soviet doctrine.
It's the only way Russia can hope to win this conflict, and they need to do it now while they have the advantage in numbers and firepower, before NATO jets and troops enter the fight.
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